A smart opinion about Flash vs. HTML5 (for once)

February 6th, 2010

Brightcove’s Jeremy Allaire provides the best non-frothing at the mouth breakdown between HTML5 and Flash that I’ve seen so far. Some particularly good snippets. Check out the full article on TechCrunch.

Flash vs. HTML5 for web apps

for a large number of web productivity apps, the HTML5 approach will become the preferred model…There are also a class of Web Productivity Apps where Flash is the preferred runtime, especially those that involve working with and manipulating media such as images, audio and video.

Flash vs. HTML5 on handhelds

Three runtime platforms will gain adoption and often even inter-mingle — HTML5 content and apps, Native Apps (that may contain Flash and HTML content), and HTML5 apps that contain and leverage Flash Player.

Flash vs. HTML5 for Video

First, right now, there is a lack of common approach among browser makers on what format to use for the HTML video object…All of this is a long way of saying that there is still significant format tension and that it will take a long time for it to be resolved in next-gen browsers.

Online video publishers will only adopt standards that have extremely broad adoption. Until penetration rates consistently reach 80%, it will be hard for publishers to switch and adopt a single, new solution. It is more likely that HTML5 Video adoption will reach that critical mass on hand-held devices before it does on the PC/Web.

It’s hard for tech geeks, business wonks and ridiculous company fanboys to accept that there may be no clear winners. That X won’t KILL Y immediately (look at how popular IE6 still is even after 5+ years of heavy disdain and criticism), but Jeremy Allaire’s article was the measured type of response I expected to hear after Steve Jobs Flash/HTML5 fanfare and didn’t get. Flash is currently 3x+ more prevalent than HTML5 capable browsers (discounting IE and accounting for FF and webkit browsers, even though both of them still have poor standard support). What rational person could possibly expect niche browsers to drive the mainstream adoption of a new technology standard? Sure, it could happen in 5+ years, but does Steve Jobs expect his customers to look at vague cubes during that time?

However, I do believe there is an opportunity to develop new technologies on mobile that can enable rich interactions that I’m not sure HTML5 or Flash is best suited for. Flash is ideal for bringing the desktop experience to mobile, which is fine for now, but clearly a shoehorning of technology into a less-than-ideal form factor.

Apple fucked up

January 27th, 2010

iPad

Maybe the iPad will be a success yet. I’ve been wrong on these things before, I’ll be wrong again. But I’m more inclined to think that the iPad will be more Apple TV than the iPhone. Adam Frucci has a very good post on the 8 things that suck about the iPod that covers all the major issues I have with the iPad (and then some), but here’s my additions/suggestions.

  1. The Big, Ugly Bezel. I understand that the idea is to prevent accidental input when you’re holding the iPad, but that bezel is digital frame-esque large. It’s comically large. I know Apple likes the clean lines, but they would’ve been better off cutting the bezel width in half, and perhaps going with a raised and grooved edge. No, it’s not as sleek and cool, but it’s a lot more functional, and it allows you to show more screen real estate. Besides, it’s not like this thing was pocket-sized form fitting anyway. Apple would’ve been better off going without the sleekness. Bumps and lumps help keep you from accidentally dropping things.
  2. No Multitasking. Frucci said it was a backbreaker. I have to agree completely. Apple would’ve been better off going with adapting a version of OS X. I know everyone loves this newfangled app store doohicky, but there used to be this thing called the Internets where you could download all sorts of free and paid apps. How big is that app store? Who knows, because it’s not a controlled environment.
  3. No cameras. It’s quite perplexing that so many comments think that “camera” refers to the camera phone/iPhone type of camera. Is it the writers fault for not being more clear? Or is it the readers fault for being so stupid? Basically, camera means webcam. There’s no need for an outer facing camera like the iPhone. You’re not going to hold a 10 inch tablet like an asshole to take pictures of things. There absolutely should’ve been an inner facing webcam. A netbook replacement where you can’t video chat? That is not a netbook replacement. That is useless.
  4. No HDMI out. This is one of those “are you geek enough” requirements. Sure it’d be nice to have, but do regular people care? Doubtful. I can pass on this.
  5. The name iPad. Butt of many jokes. Honestly, this was laziness on Apple’s part. They got too conventional. There’s no need to stick to I-something naming convention. Otherwise the the Macbook isn’t called the iBook. The Air isn’t called the iBook Air. And Apple TV isn’t called iTV. Whoever made that decision dropped the ball.
  6. No Flash. Like Frucci mentions, a marginally acceptable experience on the iPhone, an egregious miss for the iPad. Basically, if it’s as big as a laptop, it should perform like one. And all the apologists who look to HTML5 to displace Flash… how long do you plan on waiting for every Internet site to adopt a new standard while you’re putzing around on a piece of hardware that can’t make any good with sites like ESPN, CNN and Hulu? The idea that the iPad doesn’t need Flash, because HTML 5 is going to take over the world is perhaps the stupidest claim of all. Seriously. It’s Darwin-awards-esque stupid. Yeah, that might happen in 5 years, but in the meanwhile, I hope you enjoy your large $500+ brick of a machine.
  7. Adapters. Eh, not great. I don’t know if this is a killer for the regular user. But it certainly hurts the convenience and portability argument.
  8. It’s not widescreen. It’s not a killer for regular users as far as I’m concerned, but it sure doesn’t make the device feel like the wave of the future. To be honest, I get offended when I see shows in 4:3 these days.

Others:

  1. Doesn’t support T-Mobile 3G. I don’t think anyone cares about T-Mobile. I’m more offended that AT&T thinks that a 250MB plan for $15 is a viable plan. Either offer that $30 unlimited option or don’t offer anything at all. The idea that 250MB is sufficient for anything at whatever price is ridiculous. Although I suppose it’s perfect if you wanted the iPad to download a half an episode of LOST each month.
  2. A Closed App Ecosystem. Sort of goes back to my thought above that they would’ve been better off going with a version of OS X for this.
  3. Form factor (this one’s mine). I expected more from Apple. Multitouch becomes much more difficult when you have to pinch larger chunks of screen real estate. And it becomes that much more difficult if you’re holding up the iPad with one hand and gesturing with the other.

Apple messed up by going cheap. You know what should be $500? The Macbook. Because it’s a commodity. A good tablet computer? It has the potential to change the way people interact with computers. So the iPad was the one product Apple would’ve been better off by charging a premium price for to offer more. Wow people with features, disappoint them with price. Rather than than try to wow them with price (and the price is really not that wow-worthy once you start considering the larger memory and 3G versions), and disappoint them with features. A truly groundbreaking product at $1500 would’ve been much preferred versus the iPod XXL at $849

Wall Street and their bonuses

January 13th, 2010

Wall Street Failsource

The claims that banks need to offer huge bonuses to retain their top “talent” is a  rather specious assertion. But I’ll disregard the fact that this “talent” precipitated one of the largest financial crises in US history. Realistically, where could this “talent” migrate to? A smaller hedge fund? Another bank? Alternatively, what other opportunities outside of finance do these “talents” really have? They’re not going to leave Wall Street to enter med schools and law schools. They are not going to become top flight scientists. They could pursue entrepreneurship but the payoff there is as capricious as playing the lottery. And working within any other industry could possibly be more personally fulfilling, but isn’t likely to be as enticing financially. Realistically, they have little other choices to turn to but the same circle jerk that they’re mired in now. Whether they’re getting 6 figure bonuses, or none at all.

Everyone’s making a tablet

January 2nd, 2010

Google Chrome OS
Source

This makes a whole lot more sense to me than a google netbook does. Tablets are an untapped market, and a spot where the limitations of the Google OS seem less likely to be noticed.

Google Chrome OS

November 21st, 2009

google-logoA netbook with Google Chrome OS is only interesting if:

  1. It’s around the OLPC XO price level
  2. It’s challenging the Amazon Kindle’s 2 week battery life

Otherwise, getting a new laptop specificallyy for an OS that does nothing unique (and its appeal has to go beyond its 7 second boot time) is not an appealing proposition.

http://www.laptop.org/en/laptop/index.shtml